Ravi Co Ltd. is considering the following investment projects:
Cash flows (Rs.)
Projects | Year0 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 |
A | -10,000 | +10,000 | - | - |
B | -10,000 | +7,500 | +7,500 | - |
C | -10,000 | +2,000 | +4,000 | +12,000 |
D -10,000 +10,000 +3,000 +3,000
a) Rank the projects according to each of the following methods : (i) Pay back (ii) ARR (iii) IRR and
(iv) NPV- assuming discount rates of 10% and 30%
b) Assuming that the projects are independent, which one should be accepted? If the projects are mutually exclusive, which project is the best?
(a) (I) Pay Bank Period = Initial cash out flow
Annual cash Inflow after tax
Project A = 10000 = 1 Year
10000
Project B = 10000 = 1.33 Years
7000
Project C
Year C.I. Cumulative C.I.
1 2000 2000
2 4000 6000
3 12000 22000
2 Years + (10000-6000) = 2.33 Years
12000
Project D
Year C.I. Cumulative C.I.
1 10000 10000
2 3000 13000
3 3000 16000
1 year
(a) (ii) Accounting Rate of Return (APR) = Average Income/Average Investment
Project A = (10000-10000)/10000 = 0
1 2
Project B = (7500+7500-10000)/10000 = .5 or .50%
2 2
Project C = (2000+4000+12000-10000)/10000 = .533 or 53.33%
3 2
Project D = (10000+3000+3000-10000)/10000 = .4 or .40%
3 2
|
Net Cash Proceed includes recovery of investments also. Therefore net cash earnings are found by deducting initial investment.
(a) (iii) Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
It is the rate of return at which Present Value of cash Inflow is equal to present value of cash outflow.
|
Project A
1 .909 .893 10000 9090 8930
Less: PV of outflow
|
10000 10000
NPV -910 -1070
IRR = 10 + -910 X (12-10) (-910-(-1070)
= 10 + (-1820) = -11.375%
160
Since IRR is negative hence r =0%
Project B
1 .769 .752 7500 5768 5640
2 .592 .565 7500 4440 4238
10208 9878
Less: PV of
Cash Outflow
10000 10000
208 (-) 122
IRR = 30 + 208 X (33-30) (208-(-122))
= 30 + 624 = 31.89 say 32%
330
Project C | | ||||||
Year | PVF @26% | C.I. | PV @ 26% | PV @ 28% | |||
1 | .794 | .761 | 2000 | 1588 | 1522 | ||
2 | .630 | .610 | 4000 | 2520 | 2440 | ||
3 | .500 | .477 | 12000 | 6000 | 5724 | ||
| | | | 10108 | 9686 | ||
Less: PV of Outflow | | | | 10000 | 10000 | ||
NPV | | | | 108 | -314 |
IRR = 26 + 108 X (28-26)
108-(-314)
= 26 + 216 = 26.51%
422
|
Project D
1 .730 .725 10000 7300 7250
2 .533 .525 3000 1599 1575
3 .389 .381 3000 1167 1143
PVF of cash
Inflow
Less: PV of
Outflow
10066 9968
10000 10000
NPV 66 -32
IRR = 37 + 66 X(38-37)
66(-(-32)
= 37 + 66 = 37.67%
98
|
Project A
1 10000 .909 .769 9090 7690
2 -
3 -
Less: PV of
Outflow
9090 7690
10000 10000
NPV -910 -2310
Project B
1 .909 .769 7500 6818 5768
2 .826 .592 7500 6195 4440
3 .751 .455 - - -
13013 10208
Less: PV of
Outflow
|
10000 10000
NPV 3013 208
Project C
1 .908 .769 2000 1818 1538
2 .826 .592 4000 3304 2368
3 .751 .455 12000 9012 5460
14134 9366
|
Outflow
10000 10000
NPV 4134 -634
Project D
1 .909 .769 10000 9090 7690
2 .826 .592 3000 2478 1776
3 .751 .455 3000 2253 1365
13821 10831
Less: PV of
Outflow
10000 10000
NPV 3821 831
Projects are ranked as follow according to the various Method
Methods A B C D
Pay Back Period 1 2 3 1
Accounting Rate of Return 4 2 1 3
Internal Rate of Return 4 2 3 1
Net present Value (@10%) 4 3 1 2
Net present Value (@30%) 4 2 3 1
b) Payback and ARR are unsound method for choosing between the investment Projects. Between the two times adjusted (DCF) investment criteria, NPV and IRR. NPV gives consistent results. If the Projects are independent (and there is no capital rationing) either IRR , NPV can be used since the same set of projects will be accepted by any of the methods.
In the given case, except Project A all the three projects should be accepted if the discount rate is 10%. Only project B & D should be undertaken if the discount rate is
30%
If it is assumed that the projects are mutually exclusive then under the assumption of 30% discount rate, the choice is between B and D, (A and C are unprofitable). Both criteria IRR and NPV give the same results D is the best. Under the assumption of 10% discount rate ranking according to IRR & NPV conflict (except for project A.) If the IRR rule is followed project D should be accepted. But the NPV rule tells that Project C is the best. The NPV rule generally gives consistent results in confirming with the wealth maximization principal. Therefore Project C should be accepted following the NPV rule.